Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 148.111858 162.749532 177.738793 194.207299 211.763973 229.892633 249.998214
2024-12-29 124.443240 146.281343 169.711167 196.595652 226.466958 258.517101 295.380757
2025-01-05 106.024189 132.860114 162.929912 198.812787 240.154002 285.984790 340.319605
2025-01-12 89.173545 118.974459 153.793597 196.896507 248.223562 306.803299 378.107601
2025-01-19 75.922622 107.607287 146.125700 195.448835 255.954797 326.801378 415.023925
2025-01-26 68.728721 102.736463 145.525636 201.907915 272.796100 357.544063 465.017438
2025-02-02 62.266405 97.964615 144.369210 207.159354 287.891076 386.222209 512.944629
2025-02-09 57.077614 94.236865 144.026199 213.043001 303.575966 415.672413 562.176265
2025-02-16 52.382450 90.629716 143.385981 218.194568 318.160857 443.810173 610.123514
2025-02-23 44.554900 81.626846 134.581694 211.711534 317.022545 451.687486 632.516779
2025-03-02 38.764136 75.009127 128.514038 208.392075 319.601786 464.012523 660.409105
2025-03-09 34.760688 70.722796 125.412541 208.865492 327.046707 482.559561 696.365443
2025-03-16 31.523914 67.426684 123.645808 211.263595 337.369535 505.396552 738.763505
2025-03-23 29.695190 66.315004 125.101679 218.355621 354.383910 537.495989 793.920886
2025-03-30 27.569798 64.450211 125.218121 223.388815 368.558378 566.007239 844.808440
2025-04-06 24.514803 60.544426 121.770155 222.802033 374.566489 583.430406 881.124280
2025-04-13 21.775062 56.876191 118.399692 222.068783 380.190666 600.285985 916.808454
2025-04-20 20.759608 56.441261 120.363952 229.652926 398.105146 634.399623 976.285601
2025-04-27 19.571901 55.512927 121.385683 235.708148 413.816803 665.623540 1032.190231
2025-05-04 18.573902 54.851544 122.785281 242.338442 430.444974 698.303416 1090.418705
2025-05-11 17.521778 53.945462 123.664295 248.093360 445.813046 729.375285 1146.774373
2025-05-18 14.839664 49.045175 116.966578 241.023497 441.345584 731.969433 1163.568596
2025-05-25 12.897235 45.523357 112.508151 237.403560 441.952279 741.704129 1190.286038